As of Tuesday afternoon, traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi put the chance of the Fed holding firm at 97%.

On the regulatory front, the tide appears to be turning in the United States. Polymarket, backed by Peter Thiel Founders Fund ...

Polymarket exploded into the public eye during the 2024 election between President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden.

Predictions market Kalshi has spent $1,190,000 on federal lobbying since 1998, sparking criticism among the gambling sector.

The future of the global derivatives market, a multi-trillion-dollar enterprise underpinning the smooth functioning of ...

Don’t look now, but it appears that the controversial candidate is separating himself in the New York City mayoral race.

The prediction market, Kalshi, and Elon Musk’s company, xAI, have announced a partnership which is ‘effective immediately.’ ...

Kalshi, the only U.S. exchange cleared to offer event-based trading, is adding Elon Musk’s Grok AI to its platform, giving ...

Sports betting giant DraftKings is rumored to be in the process of purchasing prediction market software Railbird, but this ...

Kalshi allows users to buy and sell contracts, most of which are priced between 1 cent and $1, based on how likely people ...

Forecast contracts can be a low-cost way to express well-researched probability views, but without disciplined sizing, ...

Last week, three Indian tribes from California sued Kalshi, arguing the derivatives exchange and prediction market operator ...