Forecast markets will run on the soon-to-launch layer-1 blockchain Autonity and newly developed Autonomous Futures Protocol (AFP).

As Kalshi and Polymarket achieve Unicorn status, markets are betting on blockchain to make future-gazing investable.

Polymarket would create its own stablecoin to own the yield-generating USD reserves that back the amount of Circle’s ...

Sports betting giant DraftKings is rumored to be in the process of purchasing prediction market software Railbird, but this ...

The largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume in the United States,Coinbase, is ready to dominate consumer markets by ...

Forecast contracts can be a low-cost way to express well-researched probability views, but without disciplined sizing, ...

Trading platform Interactive Brokers began operating its prediction market offering yes-or-no contracts on Thursday. The market, called ForecastEx, was originally slated to go live in early July ...

Prediction contracts are dynamically priced in real time whenever the markets are open. Prediction exchanges use active supply and demand data and sophisticated algorithms to determine market prices.

Prediction Markets Failed Their Midterm Test, Big Time Unfortunately, the 2022 midterm elections did not turn out well for any of the operational prediction markets. They got the key calls all wrong.

Prediction markets have their own agnostic efficiency and logic. The investor goal is to make money. The market-maker goal is to accurately predict outcomes without the “noise” of morality ...